Rebirth of the Wild Age

~: Two hundred and ninety-four【speculativ

Fudan MBA class.

This class is about "Entrepreneurship is the core competitiveness of listed companies." Lin Zhuoyun holding a "Chinese New Literature History Draft", sitting in the last row with a smile-she waited with Song Weiyang Go to the movies.

Song Weiyang looked at his watch, threw the chalk away, sat on the podium and said: "This semester will end with two more classes, and I will not give you any lessons next semester. I have sorted out the lecture notes for "Entrepreneurship" It will be published by Fudan University Press. At present, both Fudan and Tongji have decided to use it as the textbook for MBA courses. In other words, "Entrepreneurship" will be discussed in the future, but it is not for me, but for other professors to teach everyone. . There are still ten minutes to end get out of class, so let’s talk about something, and students who have questions can also ask questions."

A student suddenly raised his hand: "Teacher, a financial magazine said that you made more than 90 million in the stock market last year. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange called you the "stock god". Is this true?"

Song Weiyang smiled and said, "How can there be 90 million? After deducting taxes and fees, it is less than 80 million."

As soon as this remark came out, the classroom suddenly exclaimed again and again.

Rumors are one thing, but confirmation by the parties is another. The average age of these students is about 30 years old, and they have seen a lot of the world, but they can't imagine making 80 million in stocks.

Another student said: "Teacher, you teach us how to trade stocks."

Song Weiyang said: "You don't need to teach, and you can't teach. I'm not a teacher of finance."

"Then what's your secret to making money in stocks?" the students asked.

Song Weiyang smiled and said, "As far as last year's market was, you can make money from individual stocks, as long as you don't be too greedy."

Another student asked: "Then what information did you leave the venue in time based on?"

Song Weiyang said: "Information is everywhere. In October last year, the Securities Regulatory Commission awarded twelve gold medals to cool the stock market. Everyone can see the news. If your brain is not stupid, you should stop. Greedy. I didn't leave the market at the highest point. The stock I bought went up several yuan later."

A student said: "Now that the Finance and Economics magazine reports on Soros's battle against the Thai baht every day, what do you think of Teacher Song?"

"You came to Fudan to study MBA, why are you so interested in financial securities?" Song Weiyang laughed.

"Business management is also inseparable from capital operation." A student said.

Song Weiyang put away his smile and asked, "Do you know why international speculators headed by Soros are eyeing Thailand?"

A student replied: "Thailand is a small country, not large in size and easy to operate."

Song Weiyang said: "Singapore is smaller, why doesn't Soros go to trouble Singapore?"

"Well..." The student couldn't answer.

“Soros’s eye on Thailand instead of other Asian countries is inevitable and not accidental,” Song Weiyang explained. “We often say that the four Asian tigers are developing rapidly, and Thailand, as one of the four Asian tigers, also allows People were amazed. From the 1970s to the 1980s, Thailand’s annual GDP growth rate was 10%, which was very rich. But at that time, Thailand’s foreign exchange management system was relatively strict, and there was no international speculator’s mobile phone market. Why ask Ross now wants to stare at Thailand and trace the root cause because China wants to reclaim the port city in 1997."

The students looked at each other, and even Lin Zhuoyun was surprised, wondering what Soros’ attack on the Thai baht had to do with the return of Hong Kong City.

Song Weiyang continued: "After entering the 1990s, as the time for the return of Hong Kong City is getting closer, people on Hong Kong Island are distracted and financial order appears to be chaotic. The Thai government feels that it has an opportunity and wants to compete with Hong Kong City. To build Thailand into an Asian financial center. To this end, the Thai government has changed its financial management system to allow funds from foreign financial institutions to enter and exit Thailand freely without the need for supervision by the Bank of Thailand. Do you know what this means?"

A student estimated that he used to study economics, and immediately said: "I understand that Thailand is not unjustly attacked by Soros. By doing so, the Thai government means that foreign capital can enter and exit Thailand's real estate and securities markets at will. What's more terrifying is the lack of Thailand. Under the supervision of the central bank, foreigners can freely borrow and lend in Thai baht, and the foreign exchange futures market in Thai baht is not defensive."

"Yes, that's it," Song Weiyang said. "In fact, Soros launched a tentative attack on the Thai baht two years ago. However, due to the good economic situation in Thailand, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund both attacked Thailand. With confidence, coupled with the timely intervention of the Bank of Thailand, Soros’s tentative attack did not yield results."

The previous student asked: "What about this year? Can the Thai government win this financial war as it did two years ago?"

Song Weiyang laughed and said, "This year is different. Thailand completely deregulated foreign investment in 1996 and demolished its last fortress. International hot money is flooding in, hot money is everywhere, and the stock market and real estate market are completely bubbled. Land prices Housing prices have soared, stock prices have repeatedly hit new highs, and people have borrowed money to buy cars and houses. Thailand is a scene of prosperity. Coupled with the appreciation of the US dollar, the appreciation of the fixed exchange rate of the Thai baht has caused Thailand's export volume to plummet, and Thai companies have begun to depressed. There are a lot of bad debts. This kind of false and prosperous economic bubble bursts with just one shot."

"But the Thai government has repelled two waves of attacks by Soros this year," said the student. "Moreover, the Bank of Thailand also raised short-term interest rates, which greatly increased the cost of foreign investment speculation. It also bought a large amount of Thai baht from the foreign exchange market. The exchange rate has stabilized. No matter how powerful the Quantum Fund is, it is impossible to beat a country, right?"

Song Weiyang smiled and said: "Please note that it is not a repelling, but a temporary successful defense. This defense has already cost Thailand a heavy price, and its foreign exchange reserves are already running low. Although high interest rates have increased the cost of foreign investment speculation, However, the already difficult Thai manufacturing industry has been made worse, and the problem of bad debts of banks and companies has been completely exposed. Especially the latter is the most critical. If Thailand's industry and commerce continue to prosper, international organizations and individuals will continue to hold a wait-and-see attitude, even optimistic. Thailand. But when the bad debts of Thai companies and banks are exposed, it will be miserable. The smell of blood will attract more sharks and help Soros kill Thailand together."

"So, Soros will win this time?" the student asked.

"Of course." Song Weiyang nodded.

"Since Mrs. Song sees it so thoroughly, don't you plan to go to Thailand for a vote?" the student said.

Song Weiyang smiled and said: "Since March, I have made a lot of long-term short orders of Thai baht. I have already sold a few short orders in stages, which is considered to be some pocket money. The remaining empty orders are required. Looking at the decisive battle between Soros and the Thai government, I believe Soros will win ~lightnovelpub.net~ because he is not fighting alone."

"Teacher Song, can you take us to short the Thai baht?" Several students said.

"It's too late," Song Weiyang said. "Just half a month ago, due to the situation, the Thai government had forbidden banks to lend the Thai baht to international speculators. The Thai government even threatened and lured banks to provide customer information on forward Thai baht short orders, including me. The Taurus capital has been blacklisted by the Thai government. Now Thailand’s overnight lending rate is scaryly high. It is estimated that your little money will not be able to sustain the Thai baht plummet."

In fact, Soros and others are also very embarrassed now. After all, they are fighting a government, and the other party has too many off-board moves.

In order to suppress the Thai baht, Soros even sold the US Treasury bonds in his hand to raise funds. Thailand also persuaded Singapore, Hong Kong City, and Malaysia to enter the battlefield to counterattack. The current situation is that international capital is fighting against the Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, and Hong Kong coalition forces.

It depends on who can't hold it first.

"Okay, get out of class has been over for three minutes, goodbye everyone." Song Weiyang packed up and left, and walked out of the classroom with Lin Zhuoyun.