Reborn Oligarchs 1991

v4 Chapter 388: Surround Wei to save Zhao

"Oh? Then what are you going to do?" Khodorkovsky's face showed a hint of surprise. He believed that Guo Shouyun was not the kind of person who likes to be pointless and full of air. Since he said he had other plans, it must be true. It's what he thought of the best strategy.

"Hey, sit down," Guo Shouyun said with a weird smile, he pulled the sleeve of Khodorkovsky's nightgown, pulled him to the sand and sat down, and then said in a low voice, "I ask you , you said that if we join forces, can we lower the exchange rate of the ruble by three to four basis points on the existing basis before May?"

"Three to four basis points?" Khodorkovsky rolled his eyelids and replied after a little thought, "From the current one dollar to one hundred and thirty rubles, down to one dollar to one hundred and sixty rubles Ruble, there should be no problem with this. But have you ever thought about it, such a rapid suppression is destined to cause panic in the country, and the newly established Federal Bank will collapse if it fails, which is obviously not what we hoped saw."

"Of course I know that," Guo Shouyun said with a nod, "and I never thought of suppressing the ruble exchange rate all the time."

"Then you" Khodorkovsky said in amazement.

"Create some pressure on the Kremlin and the White House, and make a fortune by the way," Guo Shouyun said with a smile, "I calculated, if I can lower the ruble exchange rate by three basis points before May, then I should be able to get out of foreign exchange speculation. Six billion funds have been withdrawn from the market, and the rest will be raised again. There should be no problem in making 10 billion. At that time, we will stop together and temporarily give up the suppression of the rupee exchange rate, so that on the one hand, we can sell To give the Kremlin face, and on the other hand to raise sufficient funds for the entire plan that follows."

"The next plan? Let's hear it," Khodorkovsky was clearly full of energy. He put his chin in his hand and said cheerfully.

Indeed, according to Guo Shouyundi's plan, if several giants join forces to lower the ruble exchange rate before May, everyone will naturally be able to profit a lot. And then, as soon as they pull back the money they put into the ruble stir market. That means that tens of billions of speculative funds disappeared overnight. In this case, it is inevitable that the ruble exchange rate will stabilize in the short term. If the Federal Central Bank can take certain measures at this time, the ruble will remain stable at a certain rate. It is also very likely that it will appreciate in value over time. As Guo Shouyun said, this is a good plan that kills three birds with one hand. It can not only make several giants a lot of money, but also force the Kremlin to make concessions to them on certain issues. At the same time, it can also allow them to concentrate enough funds to invest in subsequent plans.

"According to my guess, if there is no accident, the sniping of the 12 European exchange rate countries by international hot money is likely to start in late May. Looking at the economic conditions of the 12 countries, Italy, which has the weakest economy, will obviously Be the first target they cannibalize," Guo Shouyun narrowed his eyes, tapped lightly on his knees with two fingers, and said confidently, "The twelve European countries linked by a stable exchange rate are like a ring. The chain. Those speculators coveted here, there is no reason not to choose the weakest link in the chain to start."

"It is inevitable, if it were me, I would also choose Italy to start," Khodorkovsky nodded and agreed.

"How should I put it, although Italy's current economic situation is relatively weak, it is one of the top six in Western Europe after all. In addition, its domestic economy is dominated by processing industries, and its economic development model is based on imports of raw materials and exports of finished products. Become the most loyal follower of the European exchange rate unity. Therefore, if it does not hurt it, it is difficult for speculation to force it to submit.” Guo Shouyun said, “In this case, from late May, those speculations must start. Absorb the lira currency and prepare for the subsequent sinking of the lira exchange rate.”

"You mean, we don't have to shoot at this time?" Khodorkovsky immediately heard the doorway from Guo Shouyun's tone, he said.

"Why, are you interested in Sicilian women?" Guo Shouyun said with a smile.

"Maybe, but like you, I am more interested in British women." Khodorkovsky rubbed his nose and smiled.

"Then let's wait," Guo Shouyun said with a shrug, "when they eat enough lira and turn to pounds, we can make a move."

"Don't be fooled, my friend," Khodorkovsky shook his head helplessly and said, "You've been talking about it for a long time, but you still haven't brought out the key issues. I'm the only one right now. What you're interested in is what you're going to do."

"It's very simple, starting from June, you can eat German marks." Guo Shouyun didn't give a **** this time, he said neatly.

"You want to move Deutsche Mark?!" Khodorkovsky was stunned, but he reacted immediately. He knew that Guo Shouyun had calculated that the "reference currency" chosen by speculators was Deutsche Mark, so he was ready to surround Wei and save Zhao. Directly attack the German Mark, so as to achieve the goal of sniper speculation.

People like Guo Shouyun and Khodorkovsky know that speculation and instigation to snipe the pound sterling have successive or even specific plans. After all, there are loopholes in the European exchange rate system, and the international economic environment is also stable. In this case, the holding and guidance of international hot money is not much tricky to play.

At present, the international economic environment is generally stable. Although the capitalist world has not yet shaken off the impact of the economic recession, there is no sign of a large-scale economic crisis. At the same time, due to the merger of East and West Germany, Germany's economic development is gaining momentum. , under its drive, the economy of the countries in the Pan-Western European region began to develop steadily. Furthermore, as an old-fashioned capitalist power, although the UK's current strength has fallen sharply, its domestic economic structure, especially its financial system, is quite rigorous. If it hadn't been for the Major cabinet's entry into the European exchange rate system, it would have been difficult for international speculators to enter the market. Find exploits on this island nation to attack.

So what are the holes that speculators have found in the European exchange rate system today? This is also very simple: with the signing of the Maastricht Treaty, twelve European countries with very different economic development began to implement a new exchange rate policy, that is, the exchange rate of the currencies of the twelve countries no longer It is directly linked to the US dollar, but refers to each other. At the same time, they also set a rigid floating range for the reference exchange rate of each country. Take the exchange rate between the British pound and the German mark. The minimum exchange rate stipulated by the exchange rate system is 1 British pound to 2.778o Deutsche Mark. If the United Kingdom wants to stay in the exchange rate system, it must maintain the exchange rate of the British pound to the German mark at this minimum. above.

The market economy has its own laws, and the fluctuation of a country's currency exchange rate is determined by its economic reality, rather than simply relying on administrative orders to play a decisive role. The reality is that after the merger of East and West Germany, the world is generally optimistic about the growth momentum of the German economy. This "general optimism" is reflected in the financial market, which is the continuous appreciation of the Deutsche mark. Inflation, and the implementation of high-interest monetary tightening in its own country, made the Deutsche mark appreciate even more.

In this case, once speculation has absorbed a sufficient amount of sterling, and at a critical moment, the sterling has been sold frantically and eaten into the German mark, then the British will face pressure from two aspects - on the one hand, In the face of the appreciation of the Deutsche mark, the huge price to pay to keep the pound to the mark exchange rate floor, and on the other hand, the speculative sterling selling frenzy. In other words, in this financial battle, the British are fighting on both sides. It is blunt to say that as long as this battle goes together, the British will be locked in defeat.

And now, Guo Shouyun is going to start eating German marks in June. According to Khodorkovsky's estimation, during this time period, the speculators may have just eaten enough pounds, and they should not have time to instigate the first A round of selling frenzy, then in the follow-up actions, if they want to successfully complete the plan, they have to spend a lot of money to eat the German mark that has been raised again by Guo Shouyun. After this process is completed, the next thing is to fight for strength face-to-face. Guo Shouyun throws the mark to absorb the British pound, in order to achieve the purpose of lowering the German mark and raising the British pound, while the speculators will do their best to sell the British pound to absorb Deutsche Mark. As the saying goes, we meet bravely and win. Speculation has to face the impact from both Guo Shouyun and the UK, while Guo Shouyun has to face the impact from both speculation and Germany. Everyone catches and fights, depending on who has sufficient funds. .

To be honest, in Khodorkovsky's view, Guo Shouyun's idea is a bit risky, not to mention that the amazing international hot money is not easy to deal with, just a strong German guy is probably enough to eat a pot. , Now that the German economy is developing rapidly, can it be an easy task to stir up the Deutsche Mark at this juncture, and to sink it?

But how should I put it, Khodorkovsky is definitely a person full of adventurous spirit. The phrase "seeking wealth and wealth in danger" can be said to have long been printed on his life motto. Therefore, in the face of Guo Shouyun This somewhat crazy idea, he not only did not directly oppose it, but began to actively conceive the feasibility.

"Yes, I just intend to move the Germans," Guo Shouyun fiddled with his fingers and said with a smile, "Hey, I see that the Germans' economic situation is good, but their infrastructure projects in the former East Germany With too much investment and the introduction of a series of new welfare measures, I will definitely not be able to draw out too much money to deal with the crisis. Taking advantage of this opportunity, if I don’t squeeze a fortune on them, how can I be reconciled? ?"