To put it simply, the current political situation in the Middle East is quite complicated, with pro-American forces competing against each other, and behind this, there are also a lot of political conflicts between major powers, in Prokolinsky's words. , that is the short-term peace situation that has appeared now, and it is not really worth looking forward to. The war in Kosovo has come to an end, and the political situation in Moscow is also in the stage of extensive adjustment. In this case, Washington, on the one hand, is trying to restrain the EU On the other hand, it is also to suppress the spread of China's influence in the Middle East. It is bound to forcefully intervene in the Middle East issue after the end of the Kosovo War. At that time, no matter who they choose to attack, the fate of this target will probably be the same. Ugly.

To be honest, Guo Shouyun can ignore the existence of Prokolinsky, but he must not ignore the problem of the Middle East. If he is only in the control of the Far East, then there is no need to say, no matter what the mess of the game of great powers, he only needs It is enough to seize the opportunity to fight for money, but now, he has just entered Moscow and has not fully grasped the main power of the Federation. In this case, he must prepare for the domestic and foreign policies to be implemented in the future. Among them, the Middle East issue is obviously directly related to the fate of the Russian Federation. If he does not make more efforts in this area, many things in the future may not be easy to handle.

Speaking of Russia in the previous life, why did Putin get such a high degree of public support in the federation? Without it, on the one hand, it is because of his tough stance, which has satisfied the expectations of most Russians for rebuilding their dream of becoming a great power. On the other hand, it is also because he has caught up with a good time, just when he took office as the president of the Russian Federation. At that time, the huge second Gulf War broke out, and the international oil price was soared overnight, while Russia, by providing sufficient crude oil supply to the international oil market, obtained a large amount of foreign exchange. In general, Russia at that time was also war money, but this war money was a little more hidden.

Now, as a strongman, Putin is obviously unable to appear in the core system of the Russian Federation regime in the short term, and as a substitute hidden behind the scenes, Guo Shouyun has to do more for himself. Having been in the political circle for so long, Guo Shouyun is undoubtedly even more important to public opinion. A politician, no matter how lofty his political prestige or how vigorous his attitude towards doing things, cannot compare to what he has achieved in economic construction. For ordinary Russians, a rhetoric president is obviously not as good as a small politician who can fill their stomachs. Therefore, Guo Shouyun wants to lay a solid foundation in the next few years. For his prominent position in Russian politics, it is far from enough to rely only on political power, he must also come up with something more real.

Just think, in this case, how could he ignore the importance of the second Gulf War? From this point of view, his position with Tehran is obviously the same - the former hopes that a war will break out in the Middle East, thereby urging the soaring of international oil prices, while the latter also hopes that a war will break out in the Middle East, thereby diverting the international realization for himself Seek more national security.

From this point of view, the first contact between Guo Shouyun and Prokolinsky can be said to be basically successful. Although neither side has clearly disclosed their positions and attitudes, on the basis of this contact, I believe it will not take long. More important people from Tehran will come to Moscow secretly, and a brand new conspiracy source will be quietly established under this circumstance.

After finishing the meeting with Prokolinsky, on March 10, Guo Shouyun transferred the think tank group under the name of the Far East Guo Group to Moscow, and set up a temporary office of the think tank group on the top floor of the Youth Building. On March 12, under consultation with Khodorkovsky and Vinogradov, the think tank group officially moved into the Kremlin, and launched the first cooperation with the Federal Countermeasures Committee controlled by the former Kremlin. The discussion, and the content of the discussion, is the various trends that the Middle East issue may appear in the future.

At this time, the negotiations between the three giants and the Kremlin have come to an end. As the federal president, Ye Shi made comprehensive concessions to the political forces manipulated by the three giants. As part of the package agreement reached by the two parties, Ye agreed to transfer power to the Big Three before the official opening of the new presidential election. At the same time, the Big Three promised to provide him with the benefits that the outgoing president should enjoy after he leaves office. At the same time, no state authority can hold accountable for various incidents led by the Kremlin in the past few years. , to provide them with the most effective personal security.

That

The current situation has reached this stage, and the alliance of the three giants has already taken full control of the overall situation. However, due to the differences in the distribution of power within the alliance of the three giants, the relevant parties are still negotiating. In Yelena's words, it is easy to kick the Kremlin, but it is somewhat difficult to kick the two of Hovey. At least, she needs time, maybe a long time.

From March 12 to March 14, the discussion meeting held by the State Countermeasures Committee, Guo Shouyun and Huo Wei, as non-voting attendees, both participated in the whole meeting. In this discussion meeting, relevant international Experts on the subject agree that there is no need for the federation to have a head-on conflict with Washington now. Whether it is on the Kosovo issue or the Middle East issue, Moscow’s strategy should be to keep a low profile accordingly. There are many reasons why experts think so. Deducting those national strength and international reasons, there are three main points: First, since the disintegration of the Soviet Union until now, the threat posed by the Russian Federation is gradually withdrawing In the eyes of the Americans, relatively speaking, the opponents that Americans value more now, in addition to the European Union, which has a booming economy and a soaring international political influence, there is also a China that is eager to become an international political power. Under such circumstances, it is Moscow's best choice to hide its edge and make every effort to seek economic development. Second, the turmoil in the Transcaucasus region has come to the point where we have to pay attention, and among them, whether the Chechnya issue can be well resolved, Moscow still needs support from Washington, at least, the Americans cannot stand Go on the opposite side. The third and most important point is that since the Federation needs the Americans to further intervene in the affairs of the Middle East, or even pick a war there, the first thing to do is to relieve the Americans of their scruples in the greatest possible way. Psychologically, from this point of view, it is obviously a very good choice to exchange the positive position of the Americans on the Chechnya issue on the condition that the federal influence withdraws from the Middle East.

in addition. On the specific issue of how to stir up chaos in the Middle East. The Countermeasures Committee also gave many positive suggestions. For example: you can take advantage of the Kurdish separatist forces. Another example. You can take advantage of the hot issues that are closely watched by the international community. such as the nuclear issue. all in all. Now the Americans are stepping up military operations against Kosovo. At the same time, it creates an illusion of peace in the Middle East. Then it is for sure. Its specific military operations in the Middle East. Probably not too far away. They need more of an excuse now. And Moscow. You can put a little more effort into this excuse.

such a thing as war. It may be a disaster for ordinary people. There is a saying in the ancients: "I'd rather be a peace dog. Not for people in troubled times." This is the truth behind it. Well, since the war is so terrible. Why in the evolution of human history. Is war still emerging? Not elsewhere. Just because for those who are not ordinary people. The appearance of war often means the appearance of opportunity. Means to appear profitably.

The Iran-Iraq war lasted for eight years. in between. Because the two sides basically adopted the old-fashioned sea tactics. Hence the heavy casualties. A million people lost their lives. 1.7 million disabled people. The economic losses of the two countries are as high as 800 billion US dollars. But in the end? Iraq did not occupy an inch of Iranian land. Iran has also not pushed fundamentalism halfway across the border. to be honest. This man is dead in vain. Economic losses are also meaningless. But then again. It is through such a war. Saddam's dictatorship was officially and firmly established in Iraq. Fundamentalism is also considered to be rooted in Iran. so. To a certain extent. Khomeini and Saddam should be regarded as a good partner.

now. Guo Shouyun has not been in Moscow for a long time. Although he has a lot of power in his hands. But this control is not very firm. in the military. He controls the people in addition to that part of the Far East. Other parties may at any time turn against the water. And in politics. He was also filled with all kinds of careerists and conspirators. under these circumstances. He wants to maintain his dominance. On the one hand, it is necessary to show genuine achievements in economic construction. on the other hand. There is also an urgent need to start a war with the outside world. Thus within the federal military. Really support a group of powerful generals who obey themselves. then. In this case. He must take a look at the situation in the Far East. While staring at the direction of the Moscow Lands Bureau. A hand on the Far East. The other hand stretched out towards Chechnya. As for where the bottom two legs will eventually go. Then it depends on the future situation.