The Rise of the Empire
Chapter 2887: Multi-party calculation three
"Perhaps Germany and Austria's attitude towards Turkey is to be an insignificant ally at best, and a neutral country without threat at worst? To some extent, Germany and the United States are the same on the issue of weakening Turkey. "Reza Khan whispered to himself while turning the cup in his hand.
"But Germans and Americans have different attitudes towards Persia. In the eyes of Germans, we are a barrier to stop Russia from going south, and at the same time the cornerstone of balancing the new Turkey in the future. We will not challenge the hegemony of the Germans because we Too weak. The Turks have the entire Asia Minor, half of the Balkan Peninsula and the entire Fertile Crescent. (That is the arc of Jordan, Lebanon, Syria and Iraq.) And our territory is limited. The population is also limited. The military power is even more. It is so weak that it is not as good as the two German armies!"
Before doing big things, you must understand your own strength and your own position. This is the so-called self-knowledge. When your mind is hot, you want to punch a powerful country, and the master who kicks the powers will not have any good results. Therefore, Reza Khan must know what Persia is, what is the attitude of the powers towards Persia, what their expectations are, and which powers can seek common ground while reserving differences, and finally obtain a compromise that everyone feels acceptable.
In Reza Khan’s view, Germany’s requirements for Persia are actually very low. It is nothing more than standing on its own side. The two sides have carried out some economic cooperation to completely exclude the United States and Russia from the Middle East and block the road for Russia to go south. Sometimes they may lease some ports or military bases. Of course, the scale will not be large, because if they deal with Russia, the Germans have a better starting position, and Persia is north of Central Asia, which is not Russia’s core rule area. Wasn't the attack from here awaiting near and far?
As for dealing with India? Reza Khan thinks that it is unlikely from a military point of view. After all, the so-called "snake fight" is the home of the British Empire at the gates of Germany. The Germans settled the British homeland, and India itself was in chaos. How can we use special deployment How about a large number of troops attacking India?
Therefore, Reza Khan felt that Germany did not demand much from Persia. However, the United States and Russia demanded too much from Persia. Russia lost its Transcaucasian oil fields, and Russia became an importer from the world's second largest oil exporter. (At this time, Russia has not discovered other large oil fields.) Therefore, Russia needs Persian oil. Of course, this kind of need is not an equal transaction, because Russia also has no money to trade fairly. Even though Americans have money, it is better to not spend money?
Russia needs Persian food. The reason is also very simple. Russia has lost its most important production area, the Ukrainian region known as the bread basket of Europe. Russia still has vast land, but it lacks sufficient manpower and time to cultivate. If possible, the Russians are naturally willing to turn Iran into their own bread basket. And what attitude will the Americans have? They will naturally lean towards the stronger and more useful Russia!
Also from a military perspective, what would happen if Persia was on the side of the United States and Russia? In Reza Khan's view, following Germany, Persia is just a corner pawn, as long as the status quo is maintained. But if you are on the side of the United States and Russia, it will be different, because the United States needs a pedal that can directly attack the vital points of the Allies. At present, Persia is just close to this point. The name of this point is the Transcaucasian oil field! Persia is not only a channel in the American plan, it is also the forefront of the attack! Large-scale strategic bombing has shown the power of terror at the end of the war. The encounter in London can tell everything. Even if the Americans cannot cross the complex terrain of the Transcaucasus region and occupy the Baku oil field, they deployed the bomber group in Persia. It can threaten this place!
Moreover, if Persia occupied the Mesopotamia, it would not be a good thing for Persia, but it would be a disaster! the reason is simple! The Persian border has moved several hundred kilometers directly westward! The mighty German army can come to Persia's new border as long as it crosses Asia Minor. So, everything else is already clear, and Germany has no reason not to do anything against Persia!
The United States, Russia, and perhaps the United Kingdom in the future, can these three countries beat the Allies? Reza Khan is not clear, but he knows that once the two sides start their hands in the Mesopotamia, the worst thing is Persia! There is a proverb that is very good, when two elephants fight, the worst thing is the grass under the elephant's feet! It doesn't matter who the two elephants win in the end! The grass is the worst! Germany has no reason to let Persia go, whether it is from the perspective of protecting its own oil fields and cutting off Russia's foreign aid!
"If this level is true, I feel that unless the Germans are completely defeated, they will not stop their offensive against us. No matter what the outcome of the war, our country will become a scorched earth, and I think that in future wars, The Allies’ odds of winning will be greater. The United States is too far away from the battlefield. The Russians and the British are at the door of the Allies. The geographical environment is very bad.” Reza Khan drank all the remaining coffee and used the caffeine Under the stimulation, he was unprecedentedly awake!
Alright~lightnovelpub.net~ After all the problems are understood, it is implemented. Judging from the performance of the king during the talks today, Shah wanted to keep himself by his side. After all, Reza Khan pulled it up with one hand. Moreover, he holds the most elite army of the Persian Kingdom. If he can't solve the problem, then I am afraid there is no other military force in the country that can be counted on. So Reza Khan stays behind, whether it is in Tehran or on the northern line is possible. Or it depends entirely on Reza Khan's own thoughts.
"Then am I in Munich or on the northern route?" Reza Khan weighed the pros and cons of the two options. If you stay in Munich, you are naturally the safest and the easiest to subvert Qajar at the right time. Dynasty, Reza Khan has two goals, one goal is to kill the American and Russian troops in Persia, and the other goal is to replace them!
From a purely utilitarian point of view, it is the easiest and safest for Reza Khan to let the Germans kill the Russians in the north, then clean up the Shah by themselves and establish a new dynasty. But this drawback is also obvious. What do the Germans think of this general practice of picking up peaches? Do you feel that you lack sincerity and are just using German power?
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