Big Time 1958
v1 Chapter 790: Afghan military expansion plan
"Nominally, the main ethnic groups in Afghanistan account for about half of the total population. In fact, these people may not be able to handle it. Afghanistan is a multi-ethnic country, and many ethnic groups in the north are important minorities of the Soviet Union in Central Asia. For this reason, our leadership is quite critical of your tough policy, because your actions in Afghanistan may detonate the Soviet Union's ethnic policy in Central Asia." Serov said frankly, spreading his hands, "Cross-border ethnic groups are So hard to deal with."
"It seems that many leaders of the Soviet Union are afraid that I am too cruel to the minorities in the north?" Amin wanted to defend a few words, but immediately saw Serov, who was lighting a cigar and was smoking fiercely, showed a disapproving look, " That's what they think, I don't think these cross-border ethnic groups have anything to do with the Soviet Union, and they don't have the nationality of the Soviet Union. This ethnic group is a ticking time bomb. It's just that I have to pretend to be equal. In fact, our policy has been Very equal."
Forehead? Amin looked at Serov for a while and didn't know what to say. Is this KGB chairman really? Very rare frankness, frankly frightening, even the ethnic minorities in their own country are among the reasonable candidates.
"What I'm talking about is only about Afghanistan. How to use the relationship between these ethnic groups to achieve your goal of establishing a unified government. With the current basic conditions in Afghanistan, it is very difficult to solve it independently. If you want to increase the success rate, there is only one way to rectify it. Armament transfers the conflict abroad." Serov said coldly, "In other words, Pakistan must be attacked."
"Attack Pakistan? But Pakistan's strength is higher than ours, and its population is larger than ours." Amin was stunned and then smiled gently, "Comrade Serov, so much foreshadowing is to allow Afghanistan to attack Pakistan and eliminate this relative Sister country, by the way, the relationship between China and the United States seems to be getting more and more harmonious. Does the Soviet Union want to pick a pro-American country to beat it? The idea is good, but using Afghanistan as a gun is not in line with the friendship between the Soviet Union and Afghanistan relation."
Many people think that China is currently at war with Vietnam, which is a great disrespect for the Soviet Union. Within the socialist camp, such remarks can be found everywhere. It is not difficult to understand that the Soviet Union wants to seek a breakthrough from another place.
But just like what Amin said, Afghanistan is no match for Pakistan in terms of population and size. It is difficult to attack Pakistan with the strength of Afghanistan itself. Why risk being a pioneer for the Soviet Union?
"Isn't this good for Afghanistan? You must know that because of the Duran Line issue, Pakistan has occupied more than 100,000 Afghan lands. Wherever the main ethnic groups of Afghanistan live, half of the population of the main ethnic group in one country lives in another country. Under the rule, this is a huge insult to the leader of any country. But Comrade Amin doesn't seem to care!" Serov rolled his eyelids and looked at the other party with a penetrating expression.
This time, it was Amin’s turn to be silent. How could he not know that half of his nation’s population is under the rule of Pakistan. Like Serov said, this is a huge shame for any leader. Moreover, there is a voice in Afghanistan itself to retake the territory, especially Amin's own ethnic group. Among the Pashtuns, the main ethnic group in Afghanistan, this voice of retaking the territory is the strongest.
Due to the problem of border demarcation by the British Empire, the Pashtuns are divided. The Pashtuns are not a minority. The Pashtuns account for 40% of the Afghan population and are the largest ethnic group in Afghanistan. Not only that, the Pashtuns The language is still the official language of Afghanistan, and the modern state of Afghanistan was also built by the Pashtuns.
You must know that the Russian Empire, which has a strong impression of expansion, is also choosing to occupy the minority areas in its neighboring countries in its expansion policy, either not swallowing it or eating the entire nation in one bite. The British method of demarcation is completely shocking. It is hard to believe that when dividing the border, it dares to hurt the main ethnic group of a country. Divide the area in which the main body of a sovereign state lives into two halves. Maybe countries with colonial policies can do this. The British mainland is an island, and they are not afraid of backlash. The remaining problems are all borne by Pakistan and Afghanistan.
Amin, who has become the number two figure in Afghanistan, usually doesn't want this problem, because he still has a lot of things to solve, but now Serov's remarks directly revealing the scar make Amin silent for a while, that kind of heart-piercing feeling, devoured his entire body.
"It seems that you haven't forgotten the existence of the Duran Line. Even Daoud dare not be weak on this issue. If the issue of the Duran Line is not resolved, Afghanistan will always be divided. The population is less than half, the proportion of the total population is not enough to implement nationalism, and it is not enough to afford benefits to ethnic minorities. Go, he said slowly, "A capable leader, when he encounters such a mess, he doesn't know what to do for a while, right?"
Amin is not a weak-willed person, definitely not. But the problem with the Duran line is like a spell that goes around every Afghan leader. Serov certainly knows this. Later generations and Pakistan's close bases rule Afghanistan, and they dare not declare to abandon the Duran Line on this issue, no matter how Pakistani coercion and inducements will not work. What's more, in Afghanistan and Pakistan, one is pro-Soviet and the other is pro-American.
"Afghanistan is not Pakistan's opponent, which will pull our country into the abyss." It took a long time for Amin to get rid of the heart-wrenching feeling, and said in a heavy and painful tone, "We can't beat them, Their military is stronger than ours."
"Military strength? The entire Warsaw Pact tanks are 95,000, 45,000 armored vehicles, and our five major tank bases do not need to be fully operational, and a China can be armed every year. You tell me that the military is insufficient, you open the world map, Will any pro-Soviet country say that its military is insufficient? Egypt, Iraq, Syria, allies of the Soviet Union in the Middle East, more than 8,000 tanks and a million troops. Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, Indonesia in Southeast Asia, a total of 200 Wan Dajun. Today you told me that Afghanistan's military is insufficient? Yes, among the friendly countries of the Soviet Union, Afghanistan's army of over 100,000 is indeed relatively weak. It seems to be only stronger than Angola and South Yemen, and similar to Sudan and Ethiopia. ." Shelov's tone is not arrogant, but the content of his mouth is indeed arrogant enough.
In the military academies of the Soviet Union, there are military cadets of various colors and civilizations, and guerrillas from dozens of countries and hundreds of regions on five continents. The Soviet Union's military-industrial enterprises support the military combat power of dozens of countries, covering the fields of land, sea and air, from tanks to warships to fighter jets, surface-to-air missiles, and ballistic missiles.
In all hotspots, there are armed forces supported by the Soviet Union. Some of these armed forces have successfully seized power, and some are still fighting. Today, the Soviet Union has almost no light industry in the country, and all of them have been transferred to Eastern Europe and other allies. Dedicated to the development of heavy industry and agriculture.
As of this year, the Soviet Union's nuclear warhead comparison with the United States is 30,000 to 23,000, which has established a relative advantage over the United States in the number of nuclear weapons. For the past two years the Soviet Union has been consolidating the areas that have been digested. Every year, the KGB sends tens of thousands of cadres abroad to guide the experience of eradicating the Communist Party, and drive out the local anti-Soviet forces.
Amin also knew that the Afghan intelligence department, which was taught by the Soviet KGB, played a huge role in clearing up the resistance in various places. However, facing Pakistan, he was still not sure, and asked tentatively, "How many weapons can the Soviet Union provide as support for Afghanistan?"
"After the end of the Turkish war that year, the Soviet Union cut its troops by 150,000, and the remaining equipment was sold to the Middle East, but the ones in storage can still be armed with 100,000 soldiers. At present, there are about 140,000 Afghan soldiers, plus I will give you The weapon is 240,000, and I can help you expand to 300,000." Shelov said indifferently, "This does not require the Soviet Union to increase production capacity."
"But Pakistan has 600,000 troops, and 300,000 troops are only half of Pakistan's." Amin shook his head and said, "We still can't win a war between Afghanistan and Pakistan. Even if the Afghan uprising helps us attack, the odds are not high. "
"If you expand your army to 500,000, everyone knows that you are going to attack Pakistan. Expanding your army twice in the name of domestic rebellion is the maximum limit." Shelov denied Amin's request, "and I am not prepared to let Afghanistan. Fight alone."
"Can the Soviet Union form a coalition with Afghanistan?" Amin's eyes lit up and he asked in disbelief. Is this idea too international, which made him a little disbelieving.
"Don't get me wrong, we can send a large-scale military advisory group to help Afghanistan stabilize the country, but we can't do it ourselves, otherwise the American war will definitely last for a long time. The relationship between the Soviet Union and the Americans is to monitor each other, and the decisive force is Your Afghan friends, Indians." Shelov denied the possibility of sending troops directly.
Relations between Afghanistan and India have always been very good as both countries have territorial disputes with Pakistan.
"Did we start the war with India from the southern front to support us? Amin touched his chin and started to deduce how much success rate and how much loss once the war starts. The Arab-Indian alliance sounds good. (To be continued~^~ )